In a regular basis, we
make conclusions about what we see or experience making the assumption that A happened
before B, so A causes B.
One, if not the first
thing we discussed in class, was the fallacy of correlation proving causation. The fact that there is a correlation between
data might imply there is a relationship between two variables. A correlation
might tell us the if a relationship is perfect, imperfect, negative or positive,
yet, it does not tell us the causes of the relationship.
Robert Henderson, the
creator of Pastafarism or followers of the Flying spaghetti monster came up
with a funny way of mocking this fallacy. According to this religious ideology,
many factors such as global warming, earthquakes, tsunamis and many other
natural disasters are caused by the shrinking number of pirates since the
eighteen century. He even goes fatherly by showing data about Somalia,
pointing out that the reason why Somalia has the lowest carbon emissions in the
world, it’s because Somalia happens to have
the highest number of pirates in the world.
Correlation is not causation;
correlation is just a hint that two variables are related. There might be a causation, yet, we would
need another type of test such as the Grainger test to prove the correlation
References
http://web.cn.edu/kwheeler/logic_causation.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flying_Spaghetti_Monster
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